Former Vice President and New Patriotic Party (NPP) flagbearer, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, has taken a narrow lead over Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson in a hypothetical 2028 presidential election contest in the Ashanti and Eastern regions, according to a September 2026 tracking poll by Global InfoAnalytics.
According to Global InfoAnalytics, the poll puts Dr Bawumia’s support at 46 per cent, compared with 43 per cent for Dr Ato Forson, giving the former Vice President a three-percentage-point advantage.
The poll further disclosed that the former Assin Central Member of Parliament, Kennedy Agyapong, who previously contested the NPP presidential primary, records eight per cent, while former Trade Minister Alan Kyerematen secures two per cent.
Nana Kwame Bediako, commonly known as Cheddar, receives one per cent, with other potential candidates collectively accounting for another one per cent.
However, despite Dr Bawumia’s lead, Global InfoAnalytics notes that the three-percentage-point gap between the two leading contenders falls within the poll’s margin of error, suggesting that they are statistically neck and neck in the two regions.
The Global InfoAnalytics also tested an alternative scenario in which Ken Agyapong is excluded from the hypothetical contest.
In that scenario, Dr Bawumia’s support rises to 48 per cent, while Dr Ato Forson’s increases to 45 per cent. Alan Kyerematen’s share doubles to four per cent, with Nana Kwame Bediako’s support also increasing to two per cent.
According to Global InfoAnalytics, the findings indicate that Ken Agyapong’s supporters may not necessarily transfer their allegiance to Dr Bawumia if the former Assin Central MP decides not to contest the 2028 presidential election.
The Global InfoAnalytics September 2026 tracking poll assesses voter preferences in possible presidential matchups ahead of the 2028 general election, with the latest findings focusing on the Ashanti and Eastern regions.
In related poll news, Global InfoAnalytics has predicted that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) could lose 29 parliamentary seats in the 2028 general elections.
According to Global InfoAnalytics, its first parliamentary seat projection predicts that the NDC could lose 29 seats in the next parliamentary election.
The Global InfoAnalytics Multilevel Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model estimates that the governing party could secure 154 seats, representing a decline from the 185 seats it won in the 2024 parliamentary elections.
However, despite the projection, the NDC is expected to retain its parliamentary majority if the estimates materialise.
On the other hand, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) is projected to increase its representation from 88 seats in 2024 to 100 in the next election, potentially gaining 12 additional seats.
Also, Global InfoAnalytics left 22 constituencies without definite projections. Twenty of these have been classified as “not disclosed”, while the remaining two are categorised as toss-ups.
In the regional breakdown of the 20 undisclosed constituencies, the Eastern Region was at the top with five seats, followed by the Ashanti Region with four and the Western Region with three.
The Upper East Region accounts for two undisclosed seats, while Central, Greater Accra, Oti, Upper West, Western North and Bono each have one.
The two constituencies classified as toss-ups are located in the Ashanti and Bono regions, with their projected outcomes remaining uncertain.
However, in percentage terms, the NDC is expected to capture 55.8 per cent of parliamentary seats, while the NPP is projected to secure 36.2 per cent, with the 20 undisclosed constituencies representing 7.2 per cent of the total seats, with the two toss-up constituencies accounting for the remaining 0.7 per cent.
The projections point to a potentially reduced parliamentary majority for the NDC in 2028, with a slight improvement in the NPP’s representation compared to their 2024 performance.
See the poll by Global InfoAnalytics below:
@ghnow_ Hon. Nii Lantey Vanderpuye arrives to officially file his nomination to contest for the NDC National Chairman position. #GHNow #fyp ♬ original sound – GHnow
@ghnow_ Nii Lantey Vanderpuye Arrives to File Nomination for NDC National Chairman Position #GHNow #fyp ♬ Yennsuro Okoo – Abena Gyamfua
