NDC’s Baba Jamal to win Ayawaso East by-election with 75% – Global InfoAnalytics

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Baba Jamal

The Global InfoAnalytics has projected that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Baba Jamal, will win the upcoming Ayawaso East by-election.

According to Global InfoAnalytics, Baba Jamal is projected to secure 75 per cent in the upcoming Ayawaso East by-election slated for Tuesday, March 3, 2026.

The Global InfoAnalytics added that the poll was conducted between February 28 and March 1, sampling 972 voters across the constituency.

In a post shared by Mussa Dankwah, the Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, read, “In the final poll for the Ayawaso East by-election, NDC’s Baba Jamal is likely to win with 75% of the votes, slightly better than what the former MP secured in the 2024 parliamentary elections.  Hon Naser Toure secured nearly 71% of the votes, and NPP’s Zak Rahman, 29%.

The NPP is likely to underperform in the by-election as Baba Ali is predicted to secure only 21%, representing a drop of nearly 8% compared to the 2024 results.

Umaru Sanda Muhammed, an independent candidate who defected from the ruling NDC, is poised to secure a meagre 3% of the votes.

The poll was conducted between 28th Feb-1st March 2026 with a sample of 972 voters with 95% confidence level and +-3.05% margin of error”.

In related news, Johnson Asiedu Nketiah, the National Chairman of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), has warned Mohammed Umar Sanda, a former party member who is contesting the Ayawaso East by-election as an independent candidate.

The NDC chairman urged Umar Sanda to rescind his decision or face consequences.

According to Johnson Asiedu Nketiah, Umar Sanda has until Sunday to withdraw from contesting the Ayawaso East by-election or face an 8-year ban if he decides to come back to the NDC.

Speaking at a rally in Nima, Asiedu Nketiah stated, “We are giving him from today until Sunday. If he wants to repent, he should come to the Sunday rally and publicly declare that he has changed his mind so that we can receive and forgive him.

“But once the election is over and he decides to return to the party, he can stay for eight years without getting the opportunity to contest for any position.”

He further added, “If you are sick and you are injected, you may survive if you are lucky, but if you are not lucky, you may die. Once it happens, it happens. After the election, he cannot come back to contest anything in the party for about eight years.”

Meanwhile, Pressure Group Democracy Hub has filed a lawsuit at the High Court in Accra seeking to halt the upcoming Ayawaso East parliamentary by-election.

According to the Democracy Hub, NDC’s Ayawaso East primaries were characterised by widespread vote buying, inducement, and monetisation, which they argued undermines democratic principles enshrined in Ghana’s 1992 Constitution.

The Democracy Hub lawsuit stems from the alleged vote-buying during the National Democratic Congress (NDC) parliamentary primaries held on February 7, 2026.

The pressure group lists NDC as the first defendant, with the Electoral Commission (EC) as the second, and the Attorney-General as the third.

Democracy Hub is seeking the High Court to quash the EC’s recognition of Baba Jamal as the NDC candidate and to restrain the Commission from accepting or acting on his nomination, calling for a fresh primary to be conducted in accordance with democratic principles.

Parts of the suits read, “An order of mandamus directed at the 2nd Defendant to refuse to accept or act upon the nomination of the said candidate unless and until a primary conducted in accordance with democratic principles is held.”

“A declaration that the parliamentary primary conducted by the 1stDefendant for the Ayawaso East Constituency, having been found to have been characterised by widespread vote buying, inducement and monetisation, did not conform to the democratic principles required under Article 55(5) of the Constitution, and that the continued reliance on the outcome thereof and the presentation of a candidate founded on that process constitute actions contrary to and inconsistent with the Constitution in violation of section 9 of the Political Parties Act, 2000 (Act 574).”

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