Mussa Dankwah, the Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, has said that when former vice president, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, is not on the ballot, the NPP sinks.
According to Mussa Dankwah, the Global InfoAnalytics polls regarding the head-to-head between the NPP candidates and NDC candidates, when Bawumia is not on the ballot, the NPP sinks.
He further stressed that if Dr Mahamudu Bawumia is taken out of the NPP, the party’s support in the Northern Region collapses.
Speaking on GHOne TV, Mussa Dankwah stated, “The data shows currently if you take Dr Bawumia out of the NPP equation, their support in the Northern Region collapses, and the Northern Region is not an area that they are strong at.
So you need a figure to hold that region together, and Bawumia is the one who is doing that.
In the Akan areas, that is basically NPP’s base, even if there is a fracture at a point in time, they will come back, but when the North goes from the NPP, it will be hard for them to come back to the NPP. They think that, strategically, it is better to present Dr Bawumia again to hold the North together than ditch him and lose the Northern Region.
Mussa Dankwah added, “From the polls we have done, the scenrio what we call the head-to-head between the NPP candidates and NDC candidates, when Bawumia is not on the ballot, NPP sinks very low nationally, and that number is driven by performance in the North. So they have an eye on that data”.
Before, the NPP had a grip on the Akan part of the country, but now they have lost it, so if they have lost the Akan base and lose the North, that will be a disaster.
Nationally, Akans 36 per cent say they are NDC, 31 per cent say they are NPP. It has never happened before, they are saying that even if the Akans are angry at NPP, it’s theirs, they will come back, but those in the North, if they are angry and go…”.
Meanwhile, Mussa Dankwah projected that former Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia will win 14 out of the 16 regions in the NPP primaries scheduled for Saturday, January 31.
Speaking on Channel One TV’s The Point of View with Bernard Avle on Wednesday, January 28, Mussa Dankwah highlighted that Dr Bawumia will secure a decisive victory in the Ashanti Region.
Mussa Dankwah stated, “Yes, [Bawumia will win in 14 regions out of 16 regions].”
He further highlighted that available data points to a clear victory for the 2024 NPP flagbearer.
“All the areas we have looked at are pointing in one direction, and that direction is that Bawumia will win this Saturday’s election one-touch,” he stated.
Mussa Dankwah also detailed that Dr Bawumia’s vote is projected to gain between 54 and 60 per cent, factoring in a three per cent margin of error.
He explained, “Based on our model, his lowest score will be 54 per cent, which is the 57 per cent we are giving him minus the three per cent margin of error, or he could get up to 60 per cent”.
He attributed the confidence in the projection to the stability of the data. “I am very confident in Bawumia’s numbers because they are more stable in terms of variability. There is no noise in the data,” he added.
Watch the video below:
NPP Primaries: If you take Dr. Bawumia out of NPP, the party's support in the Northern Region collapses… – Mussa Dankwah (Executive Director, Global InfoAnalytics)#ElectionHub #NPP#GHOneNews #EIBNetwork#GHOneTV #NewsAlert#NPPDecides pic.twitter.com/rTT4WewFzR
— GHOne TV (@ghonetv) January 31, 2026