TraffiTech fines could trigger mass non-compliance, number plate fraud – Bright Simons warns

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Bright Simons

Bright Simons, a Vice President of IMANI Africa, has warned that Ghana’s automated traffic enforcement system, TraffiTech, could trigger widespread non-compliance and number plate fraud if authorities fail to address concerns about the affordability and fairness of its fines.

Mr Simons, in a commentary examining the anti-fraud implications of the system, argued that the GH¢240 base fine is disproportionately high relative to the earnings of many Ghanaian workers, particularly minimum-wage earners and commercial drivers.

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He noted that the fine is more than 11 times the daily minimum wage, meaning minimum-wage earners would need approximately 11 days of work to pay a single penalty.

He argued that affordability must be considered when designing enforcement policies, warning that motorists who cannot afford penalties may simply refuse to pay them.

Bright Simons stated, “If people simply can’t pay, they will not pay. As the fines pile up, the ability to pay worsen”.

He further cited Kenya’s automated traffic enforcement scheme, which reportedly recorded a compliance rate of just 16 per cent before its suspension. He also referenced Côte d’Ivoire, where authorities introduced instalment payments to help motorists settle fines.

These figures contrast with reported compliance rates of 75 per cent in Berlin, 67 per cent in Chicago and 70 per cent in New South Wales, Australia.

Beyond affordability, he identified public perceptions of fairness as another important factor, arguing that unclear speed limits and seemingly arbitrary enforcement could discourage compliance.

Mr Simons further warned that widespread dissatisfaction could encourage motorists to use fraudulent methods to evade traffic cameras.

He cited the UK’s Operation Phantom, which targeted vehicles using deliberately altered number plates. According to him, special cameras deployed during the exercise detected 4,335 ghost plates within two weeks.

He also referenced research from the University of Texas at Austin, which reportedly showed that a device costing about US$100 could reduce the effectiveness of advanced traffic cameras by as much as 60 per cent.

He warned that the growing availability of evasion technologies could force authorities and TraffiTech’s provider, Sensys Gatso, to invest in increasingly expensive cameras, potentially affecting revenue and the system’s expansion.

Mr Simons argued that maintaining high fines as a deterrent may not necessarily improve road discipline, insisting that affordability, fairness and clearly displayed speed limits are essential to achieving compliance.

Read his full post below:

“I recently put on my *anti-fraud tech* hat (the vocation that pays my bills) to review Traffitech, the new automated traffic ticket/fine system in Ghana. Here is what I found.

1. You would notice that the base Traffitech fine of GHS 240 is more than 11x the minimum wage in Ghana.

2. So, minimum-wage earners must work for 11 days to pay each fine.

3. The median income in Ghana is ~GHS 2130 a month. Among informal workers, it is GHS 1200. And in Greater Accra, it is GHS 3000.

4. It is true that drivers who own their own cars tend to earn higher than the median wage. But a very large number of drivers on the road are commercial drivers who earn around the 3000 – 4000 a month mark.

5. One of the attached charts shows you how the fines escalate against the disposable income of such drivers.

6. All of this to say that we should pay attention to COMPLIANCE as a function of AFFORDABILITY. If people simply can’t pay, they will not pay. As the fines pile up, the ability to pay worsens.

7. It is not surprising that before the Kenyan scheme was suspended, the compliance rate (people actually paying the fine) was a mere 16% and that in Côte d’Ivoire the authorities had to introduce an option to pay in instalments.

8. Compare that with compliance rates of 75% in Berlin, 67% in Chicago, and 70% in New South Wales (Australia).

9. Apart from income, I would argue that a major factor for higher compliance rates in the above places compared to what we have seen in Africa is the SENSE OF FAIRNESS.

10. If drivers begin to feel that the whole scheme is arbitrary and it is hard to modify your behaviour to avoid fines because the speed limits are hard to scope and determine, compliance will fall, and arrears will pile up.

11. Something else will then happen: FRAUD.

12. Last year, the UK authorities launched Operation Phantom, an exercise to detect car number plates deliberately tampered with to avoid automated tickets and fines.

13. Special cameras called “Sentio Ghost” were acquired from a company called Redspeed for the effort. Within 2 weeks, 4,335 ghost plates were recorded. Another provider, MAV, detected 1000 such plates at the Dartford Crossing. (Sensys Gatso, Ghana’s provider, doesn’t seem to have developed such tech.)

14. Researchers at UT Austin (Texas) recently showed how, with $100, anyone can create a simple rim unobvious to the naked eye that reduces the performance of even the most advanced cameras by 60%. And now there are simple sprays that do similar things.

15. The situation is made worse by the poor street lighting in Ghana that makes using other spectra besides infra-red much harder.

16. Capitalism means that if the number of evaders grows, the supply of “ghosting” tools will increase and costs will fall. Meanwhile, Mr Frank Osei and Sensys Gatso will counter by pushing for more higher-tier cameras, which will drop revenue. But less revenue would also limit the ability to spread the system. See chart.

17. At any rate, research shows that in this fraud “arms race”, the cost advantage is on the side of the criminals.

18. As the chart shows, there aren’t easy answers about how to address these complex feedback loops. But, for sure, the idea that fines have to be kept high to serve as a deterrence is not all that smart”.

See the post below:

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